Another projection published today, this time by the New Statesman, also suggests that the Lib Dems could take Mid Sussex:
Interestingly, the Lib Dems’ projected share of the vote has declined slightly (down from 34%) from the New Statesman’s projection of 23rd May. Conservative and Labour have remained the same.
The New Statesman’s projections are based on those from Electoral Calculus so should be relatively trustworthy. There’s more in their methodology, and how it differs from that of Electoral Calculus here.
It’s beginning to look like the election in Mid Sussex could be much more interesting than in previous years. There’s a distinct possibility that the Conservatives could lose here. Anyone of a mind to punish the Conservatives should probably consider voting Lib Dem.